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SUMMARY:Coercion without war? Chinese maritime paramilitary and constabula
 ry activities and the fallacy of the grey zone - Dr Alessio Patalano
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20191105T130000Z
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20191105T143000Z
UID:https://talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/ecfe5e68-0738-49a6-b20a-8d85bdc73960/
DESCRIPTION:Is it possible to sustain maritime coercion without it escalat
 ing into outright war? The paper reviews the posture and activities of the
  Chinese coast guard and maritime militias to address this question. In so
  doing\, it challenges the widespread notion in the literature that Chines
 e maritime coercion in the East and South China Seas (ESCS) is best descri
 bed as a grey zone strategy. The ‘grey zone’ notion uncritically assum
 es that the use of force is designed to remain below the threshold of war.
  A review of Chinese maritime activities suggests instead that Beijing's c
 laims to control ‘rights and interests’ are a function of a broader st
 rategic intention to project military power within and beyond the confines
  of the ESCS\, whilst preventing others to do the same. Thus\, the ability
  for coercion to remain beneath there threshold depends on the degree to w
 hich other actors are willing to accept the cumulative effects of changes 
 to strategic balance brought about by Chinese paramilitary and constabular
 y activities. Within this context\, Chinese paramilitary and constabulary 
 activities increase long-term strategic competition and with it\, the risk
  of war.    \n\nDr Patalano is Reader in East Asian Warfare and Security a
 t the Department of War Studies (DWS)\, King’s College London (KCL). He 
 specialises in maritime strategy and doctrine\, Japanese military history 
 and strategy\, East Asian Security\, and Italian defence policy. Dr Patala
 no is currently visiting professor at the Japan Maritime Command and Staff
  College (JMCSC). His monograph Post-war Japan as a Seapower: Imperial Leg
 acy\, Wartime Experience\, and the Making of a Navy (Bloomsbury 2015) rece
 ived international recognition\, is currently used for teaching purposes a
 t the Japanese staff college\, and is being translated in Mandarin. Dr Pat
 alano’s current research focuses on the impact of strategic geography on
  Indo-Pacific security dynamics\, and is writing a new study of the Japane
 se post-war submarine rearmament.\n\nA sandwich lunch will be served at 12
 .45\nSpeakers:\nDr Alessio Patalano
LOCATION:Manor Road Building (Seminar Room G)\, Manor Road OX1 3UQ
TZID:Europe/London
URL:https://talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/ecfe5e68-0738-49a6-b20a-8d85bdc73960/
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DESCRIPTION:Talk:Coercion without war? Chinese maritime paramilitary and c
 onstabulary activities and the fallacy of the grey zone - Dr Alessio Patal
 ano
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