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SUMMARY:Economic Development\, the Nutrition Trap\, and Noncommunicable Di
 sease - Kaivan Munshi (University of Cambridge)
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20181121T123000Z
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20181121T140000Z
UID:https://talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/8918989b-7c66-4741-a99d-c234440d260c/
DESCRIPTION:This research is motivated by two stylized facts: (i) the weak
  relationship between income and nutritional status in developing countrie
 s\, and (ii) the increased prevalence of noncommunicable diseases\; in par
 ticular\, cardiometabolic diseases among normal weight individuals\, with 
 economic development. Our unified explanation for these stylized facts is 
 based on a nutrition trap: a growing biomedical literature posits that the
 re exists an epigenetically determined set point for each individual’s b
 ody weight\, with metabolic and hormonal adjustments defending the set poi
 nt in response to variation in energy intake (food consumption). Consumpti
 on within a range of the set point thus fails to change nutritional status
 \, but once consumption crosses a threshold\, the body can no longer defen
 d the set point and the resulting metabolic imbalance increases the risk o
 f cardiometabolic diseases (diabetes\, hypertension\, and cardiac disease)
 . The set point in a given population is partly determined by conditions i
 n the pre-industrial economy\, allowing us to explain variation in the inc
 ome-nutritional status relationship and the BMI-diabetes relationship acro
 ss broad regions of the world. To establish that a set point does indeed e
 xist\, we develop a model that generates predictions for the cross-section
 al relationship between current income and both nutritional status and car
 diometabolic diseases when a nutrition trap is present. These predictions 
 are tested with microdata from India\, Indonesia\, and Ghana. Estimation o
 f the model’s structural parameters allows us to quantify the impact of 
 the nutrition trap\, which turns out to be substantial\, explaining approx
 imately 40% of under-nutrition in India.\n\nWritten with Anu Alexander (Ch
 ristian Medical College\, Vellore)\, Nancy Luke (Pennsylvania State Univer
 sity)\, and Swapnil Singh (Central Bank of Lithuania). \nSpeakers:\nKaivan
  Munshi (University of Cambridge)
LOCATION:Manor Road Building (Lecture Theatre)\, Manor Road OX1 3UQ
TZID:Europe/London
URL:https://talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/8918989b-7c66-4741-a99d-c234440d260c/
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DESCRIPTION:Talk:Economic Development\, the Nutrition Trap\, and Noncommun
 icable Disease - Kaivan Munshi (University of Cambridge)
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