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SUMMARY:Differential Mobilisation and Turnout Inequality: Theory and evide
 nce from 150 field experiments - Florian Foos (LSE)
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20251110T124500Z
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20251110T140000Z
UID:https://talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/9ae07ade-ddc1-4bf8-b26a-ef89e72cdc0a/
DESCRIPTION:Those who seek to increase electoral participation appear to f
 ace a dilemma. Prior work finds that Get-Out-The-Vote (GOTV) interventions
  are more effective on individuals with ex-ante higher voting propensities
  and might hence deepen turnout inequality. In this paper\, we formalise t
 he link between differential mobilisation effects and turnout inequality\,
  introduce a novel Gini-based turnout inequality measure\, and comprehensi
 vely answer if and when GOTV interventions increase or decrease turnout in
 equality.\n\nWe formally prove that\, where electorates are stratified\, i
 nterventions resulting in constant treatment effects\, or even in larger e
 ffects among higher voting propensity groups\, can reduce turnout inequali
 ty. To test the effects of GOTV on turnout inequality empirically\, we col
 lect the largest individual-level experimental dataset for political scien
 ce meta-analysis\, and estimate treatment effects within voting propensity
  bins.\n\nWe find that GOTV interventions are most effective on intermedia
 te-propensity voters. We then show that by reducing the over-representatio
 n of high-propensity voters\, GOTV reduces the turnout inequality Gini\, e
 specially in high inequality contexts. These findings revise established k
 nowledge on the link between voter mobilisation and turnout inequality\, a
 nd have powerful implications for democracy and the ethics of political sc
 ience experimentation.\n\nPlease join either in person or online. For in-p
 erson attendees\, the talk will be preceded by a light lunch at 12.15pm.\n
 \nPlease email comms@sociology.ox.ac.uk with any questions.\nSpeakers:\nFl
 orian Foos (LSE)
LOCATION:Seminar Room\, Department of Sociology
TZID:Europe/London
URL:https://talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/9ae07ade-ddc1-4bf8-b26a-ef89e72cdc0a/
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DESCRIPTION:Talk:Differential Mobilisation and Turnout Inequality: Theory 
 and evidence from 150 field experiments - Florian Foos (LSE)
TRIGGER:-PT1H
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