OxTalks will soon move to the new Halo platform and will become 'Oxford Events.' There will be a need for an OxTalks freeze. This was previously planned for Friday 14th November – a new date will be shared as soon as it is available (full details will be available on the Staff Gateway).
In the meantime, the OxTalks site will remain active and events will continue to be published.
If staff have any questions about the Oxford Events launch, please contact halo@digital.ox.ac.uk
We examine the substitution between primary and secondary care in patients with chronic conditions by using a dynamic structural model for longitudinal count data. By using a hidden Markov chain approach, the model allows for disentangling unobservable time-varying heterogeneity from the dynamic effect of utilisation of primary and secondary care. We also allow unobserved heterogeneity to depend on observable individual characteristics. We find a noticeable substitution effect with an additional primary care visit reducing utilisation of emergency care. Results indicate that the substitution effect decreases with age with diminishing marginal increments, and it is much larger in individuals with a heavy-user profile than in other individuals.
