Measuring Voter Demand for Democratic Reconstruction in States Undergoing Democratic Backsliding: Evidence from Hungary
Globally, democracy has been in decline for the past two decades. In response to this erosion, opposition groups have formed and attempted to challenge the power of aspiring autocrats by calling for the reconstruction of democratic norms and institutions. This project aims to analyse how voters assess politician commitments to reconstruct democracy in states undergoing democratic backsliding. Using an online conjoint survey experiment set in Hungary, the paper will measure the salience democratic rebuilding is for voters, compared to other policy dimensions. I will argue that voters support politicians committed to democratic reconstruction, but that this support is conditional on partisanship alignment and policy distance. Understanding the direction and magnitude of public support for reconstructing democracy is useful in order to explain the variation in success of past opposition candidates, while also being necessary for informing the strategy of future movements.
Date: 13 November 2024, 14:00 (Wednesday, 5th week, Michaelmas 2024)
Venue: Centre for Experimental Social Sciences, George Street OX1 2AA
Venue Details: This is an in-person event that is open to the public. Interested individuals will need to come to the Centre for Experimental Social Sciences located in George Street Mews and a member of the staff will grant you access to the building.
Speaker: Iuliana Nyerges (University of Oxford)
Organising department: Nuffield College
Organiser: Noah Bacine (University of Oxford)
Organiser contact email address: Noah.Bacine@nuffield.ox.ac.uk
Host: Noah Bacine (University of Oxford)
Part of: CESS Colloquium Series
Booking required?: Not required
Booking email: Noah.Bacine@nuffield.ox.ac.uk
Cost: N/A
Audience: Public
Editor: Noah Bacine