OxTalks will soon move to the new Halo platform and will become 'Oxford Events.' There will be a need for an OxTalks freeze. This was previously planned for Friday 14th November – a new date will be shared as soon as it is available (full details will be available on the Staff Gateway).
In the meantime, the OxTalks site will remain active and events will continue to be published.
If staff have any questions about the Oxford Events launch, please contact halo@digital.ox.ac.uk
We develop a novel method for assessing the effect of constraints im- posed by spatially-fixed natural resources on aggregate economic out- put. We apply it to estimate and compare the projected effects of cli- mate change and population growth over the course of the 21st century, by country and globally. We find that standard population growth pro- jections imply larger reductions in income than even the most extreme widely-adopted climate change scenario (RCP8.5). Climate and popu- lation impacts are correlated across countries: climate change and pop- ulation growth will have their most damaging effects in similar places. Relative to previous work on macro climate impacts, our approach has the advantages of being disciplined by a simple macro growth model that allows for adaptation and of assessing impacts via a large set of climate moments, not just annual average temperature and precipitation. Fur- ther, our estimated effects of climate are by construction independent of country-level factors such as institutions.
