The Value of Unemployment Insurance
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Abstract

While a large literature has analysed labor supply responses to social insurance program, the corresponding insurance value of these programs is not well known. The challenge has been to assess the insurance value of mandated programs when no choice is allowed for. This paper analyses the value of unemployment insurance exploiting rich administrative data in Sweden on income, wealth, unemployment, and choices to buy supplemental UI coverage. We exploit this unique opportunity to revisit the consumption-based implementation, linking the value of insurance to the drop in consumption when unemployed, and compare this to Revealed Preference approach based on the UI choices. We also propose a novel implementation based on state-dependent marginal propensities to consume. Both methods provide estimates for the value of insurance that are substantially higher than the consumption-based implementation.
Date: 10 May 2018, 14:00 (Thursday, 3rd week, Trinity 2018)
Venue: Manor Road Building, Manor Road OX1 3UQ
Venue Details: Seminar Room A
Speaker: Johannes Spinnewijn (London School of Economics and Political Science)
Organising department: Department of Economics
Organisers: Anne Pouliquen (University of Oxford), Erin Saunders (University of Oxford)
Part of: Applied Microeconomics Seminar
Booking required?: Not required
Audience: Members of the University only
Editors: Erin Saunders, Anne Pouliquen, Melis Clark