OxTalks will soon move to the new Halo platform and will become 'Oxford Events.' There will be a need for an OxTalks freeze. This was previously planned for Friday 14th November – a new date will be shared as soon as it is available (full details will be available on the Staff Gateway).
In the meantime, the OxTalks site will remain active and events will continue to be published.
If staff have any questions about the Oxford Events launch, please contact halo@digital.ox.ac.uk
“Insurgent groups are a persistent feature of the developing world, but what explains the political prominence of these organizations? Existing explanations tend to focus on the quality of governance, arguing that insurgent groups survive because governments are incapable of defeating them, however, this can occur through several distinct channels. In this paper, we propose an alternative, tactical, explanation that emphasizes the importance of the recruitment efforts of insurgent leaders and its link to the aggressiveness of counterinsurgency efforts. In particular, our explanation focuses on the unique role of ideological indoctrination, and the upstream strategic incentives that indoctrination creates. We develop a model that studies the interaction between an established insurgent leadership, the counterinsurgency wing of the government, and the civilian population. Because indoctrinated citizens will oppose the government without the coordinating efforts of insurgent leaders, counterinsurgency efforts targeting organizational aspects of the insurgency become less valuable as more citizens become indoctrinated. We also examine how changes in economic conditions affect how much effort insurgent leaders are willing to invest in indoctrinating citizens.”