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Modern Library Holdings and Historic Economic Growth
In a broad sample of cities, population growth robustly correlates with changes in the number of observed scholarly deaths. I document this fact using library data, argue it reflects structural links between intellectual and economic activity and develop a statistical framework to empirically exploit this relationship. Combining available city growth estimates with predicted growth from author counts improves existing data. More generally, author counts provide a disaggregated and high-frequency economic proxy that opens new avenues for research. I illustrate these opportunities in a data scarce environment by formally investigating the economic impact of the Mongol invasions on Iraqi cities for the first time.
Date:
9 March 2026, 13:30
Venue:
Manor Road Building, Manor Road OX1 3UQ
Venue Details:
Skills Lab
Speaker:
Eric Chaney (University of Oxford)
Organising department:
Department of Economics
Part of:
Political Economy Seminar
Booking required?:
Not required
Audience:
Members of the University only
Editor:
Edward Valenzano
