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Ukraine and beyond: Shaping Europe’s security future
IN COOPERATION WITH THE DAHRENDORF PROGRAMME
Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine upended Europe’s security order, exposing vulnerabilities that continue to shape trans-Atlantic strategy. By early 2025, Russia is advancing slowly in Ukraine’s east, while Kyiv faces resource and manpower strains, and U.S. policy under a new Trump administration introduces uncertainty. Neither side has a clear path to achieving its objectives, and prospects for a ceasefire remain slim. Still, U.S. leverage—sanctions capacity, military weight, and alliance leadership—offers a narrow window to test Moscow’s willingness to negotiate. Any sustainable outcome must preserve Ukrainian sovereignty, deter renewed Russian aggression, and incentivize European states to build stronger, more autonomous defence capabilities. At the same time, Western leaders must balance deterrence with diplomacy to reduce risks inherent in an increasingly militarised region. Policy coordination across Washington and European capitals will be decisive: alignment could shape a stable security order, while division risks prolonged conflict and dangerous escalation.
Date:
14 October 2025, 17:00
Venue:
St Antony's College - North Site
Venue Details:
Seminar Room, European Studies Centre, 70 Woodstock Road, Oxford OX2 6HR
Speakers:
Olya Oliker (International Crisis Group),
James O'Brien (Institute for Human Sciences)
Organising department:
European Studies Centre
Organiser:
Julie Adams (St Antony's College, University of Oxford)
Organiser contact email address:
julie.adams@sant.ox.ac.uk
Host:
Dr Dimitar Bechev (University of Oxford)
Part of:
European Studies Seminar
Booking required?:
Not required
Audience:
Public
Editor:
Julie Adams
