Living in an age of uncertainty
In today’s world of profound uncertainty, traditional decision-making frameworks fall short. Where appropriate, we can assess and evaluate probabilities for well-defined events. But when facing “deep” uncertainty, where we cannot even imagine all the possible futures, conventional methods become impractical.

This talk by eminent statistician David Spiegelhalter explores some essential qualities for navigating our uncertain age. By cultivating imagination, humility and resilience, we can better face an unpredictable future—not by eliminating uncertainty, but by developing the capacity to adapt and recover when the unexpected inevitably occurs.
Date: 11 November 2025, 17:30
Venue: Trinity College, Broad Street OX1 3BH
Venue Details: de Jager Auditorium, Levine Building
Speaker: Professor David Spiegelhalter (University of Cambridge)
Organising department: Trinity College
Booking required?: Required
Booking url: https://www.ticketsoxford.com/events/david-spiegelhalter
Cost: Tickets £10 / students £5
Audience: Public
Editor: Jane Hunt