OxTalks will soon move to the new Halo platform and will become 'Oxford Events.' There will be a need for an OxTalks freeze. This was previously planned for Friday 14th November – a new date will be shared as soon as it is available (full details will be available on the Staff Gateway).
In the meantime, the OxTalks site will remain active and events will continue to be published.
If staff have any questions about the Oxford Events launch, please contact halo@digital.ox.ac.uk
“The possibility of irreversible decisions can give extreme policy-makers the platform to have an out-sized impact on the future. We investigate the timing of irreversible decisions in a sequential, finite game. In this game policy-makers can either implement a policy from a continuum of policy options, or delegate decision authority to subsequent policy-makers who are at least as well informed about optimal policies but have idiosyncratic preferences. Importantly, in this environment agents with extreme preferences regarding polices can implement extreme policies. We show that there exists a threshold, whereby agents with preferences more extreme than this threshold choose to implement
a policy. This threshold preference unravels as the sequence progresses, becoming incrementally less extreme. We also consider the optimal actions for a society. First, we show that policy-makers will tend to be more inclined to implement policies than is socially optimal. Then we consider optimal behaviour for society when they are afforded power to deter policy-makers from implementing policies. Since policy-makers with the most extreme preferences have the most to gain by implementing policies (and hence are less swayed by deterrents), our analysis suggests that under intuitive application of deterrents society may, inadvertently, cause more extreme policies to be implemented.”