Riskier than you think: Crisis instability between the US and China in maritime Asia
The mainstream position is that a combination of technology and strategy is pushing us to a world where crises in maritime Asia will be more stable, taking the form of a defensive standoff. We believe that view is overly optimistic, for it overlooks how operational culture, bureaucratic incentives, and the temptation to strike first are creating the circumstances for a perfect storm. In our talk, we will outline what the dangers are and why we need to pay more attention to them.

Jonathan D. Caverley is Professor of Strategy in the Strategic & Operational Research Department of the Naval War College’s Center for Naval Warfare Studies and a Research Scientist in Political Science and Security Studies at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Dr. Peter Dombrowski is the William D. Ruger Chair of National Security Economics Strategic and Operational Research Department at the Naval War College.
Date: 20 November 2020, 14:00 (Friday, 6th week, Michaelmas 2020)
Venue: Online
Speakers: Professor Jonathan D. Caverley (US Naval War College), Dr Peter Dombrowski (US Naval War College)
Organising department: Faculty of Asian and Middle Eastern Studies
Organiser: Todd Hall (Associate Professor of International Relations, University of Oxford)
Organiser contact email address: information@chinese.ox.ac.uk
Host: Todd Hall (Associate Professor of International Relations, University of Oxford)
Booking required?: Required
Booking url: https://www.chinacentre.ox.ac.uk
Booking email: information@chinese.ox.ac.uk
Audience: Public
Editor: Clare Orchard