OxTalks will soon move to the new Halo platform and will become 'Oxford Events.' There will be a need for an OxTalks freeze. This was previously planned for Friday 14th November – a new date will be shared as soon as it is available (full details will be available on the Staff Gateway).
In the meantime, the OxTalks site will remain active and events will continue to be published.
If staff have any questions about the Oxford Events launch, please contact halo@digital.ox.ac.uk
The predictive power of polygenic scores for some traits now rivals that of more classical phenotypic measures, leading to suggestions that polygenic scores offer a potentially useful tool for genetically informed policy. However, it is not well understood how much information polygenic scores convey for complex social traits such as education over and above phenotypic data that are available or easily measured. Using data from a UK cohort study we investigate the accuracy with which polygenic scores for education predict pupil’s realised attainment. We test their use as standalone predictors and conditional on phenotypic data that is available to or could be easily and cheaply collected by schools. In our sample, children’s polygenic scores predicted their educational outcomes almost as well as parent’s socioeconomic position or education. There was high overlap between the polygenic score and attainment distributions though, leading to weak predictive accuracy at the individual level. Conditional on prior attainment, polygenic scores were not predictive of later attainment. Our results suggest that while polygenic scores are informative for identifying group level differences in education, they currently have very limited use in predicting how well an individual will perform