OxTalks will soon move to the new Halo platform and will become 'Oxford Events.' There will be a need for an OxTalks freeze. This was previously planned for Friday 14th November – a new date will be shared as soon as it is available (full details will be available on the Staff Gateway).
In the meantime, the OxTalks site will remain active and events will continue to be published.
If staff have any questions about the Oxford Events launch, please contact halo@digital.ox.ac.uk
Defying normative expectations, incentives inherent to democratic politics can allow violence to persist within contested and participatory regimes. Extending the criminal governance rationale, we investigate how democratic politics and institutions shape violence by organized criminal groups (OCGs). We outline eight hypotheses linking electoral competition, participation, mayoral alternation, budgetary allocation, local council size, and mayoral re-election to variations in criminal violence. Leveraging novel municipal-level data from Mexico (2010–2020) and two-way fixed-effects negative binomial models, we argue that democratic features of local governments influence criminal violence by disturbing the symbiotic ties between State officials and OCGs: the politics of democracy condition OCG-violence by disrupting the ‘gray zone’ of criminality. Our results and contribution highlight that beyond policing and militarization, the design of local institutions can impact citizens’ security inside democracies. These findings also urge future research to recognize that under criminal (forms of) governance, OCG violence can indeed be political violence.