OxTalks will soon move to the new Halo platform and will become 'Oxford Events.' There will be a need for an OxTalks freeze. This was previously planned for Friday 14th November – a new date will be shared as soon as it is available (full details will be available on the Staff Gateway).
In the meantime, the OxTalks site will remain active and events will continue to be published.
If staff have any questions about the Oxford Events launch, please contact halo@digital.ox.ac.uk
Complex Environmental Systems Models (CESMs) have been developed and applied as vital tools to tackle the ecological, water, food, and energy crises that humanity faces, and have been used widely to support decision-making about management of the quality and quantity of the Earth’s resources. CESMs are often controlled by many interacting and uncertain factors, and typically integrate data from multiple sources at different spatio-temporal scales, which make them highly complex. Sensitivity Analysis (SA) has proven to be a promising tool for deepening our understanding of the model complexity and interactions between various factors, and providing helpful recommendations for further model development and data acquisition. SA provides a way for systematically explaining how variations in different model input factors and their interactions influence the model output variability, and thus a means of assessing which factor is more responsible for model output variations. The scope of this presentation is to give a general introduction to methods of SA and a tutorial on the use of SA methods to rank input uncertainties.